I publish my NCAA bracket and models for the Hall of Fame and Oscars. Explore the evidence behind each forecast, then build your own bracket, class or ballot.
My NCAA bracket, models for the Hall of Fame and Oscars, and tools to make your own picks.
See the current forecastsTwelve committee members pick 76 of the 365 Division I teams. Thirty-two get in automatically, and the other 44 spots come down to how the room reads each résumé.
See my bracketFifteen finalists go into the room. The selectors cut them to ten, then to seven, and each of the last seven needs 80% of the vote to get in.
See the forecastAbout 10,000 Academy members rank the ten nominees. The last-place film drops out each round and its ballots move to each voter's next choice, until one film holds more than half.
See the forecastSelect a team for its line and rank.
Each dot is a player’s chance of going in this year, from simulating the vote many times. The model expects 4.2 players, with about 1.2 more seats held for a coach and a contributor.
Chance of going into the Class of 2027. Filled dots are players the model’s queue also seats; Class is the year the queue projects each player in.
Select a name for the case behind the number.
Election requires 20 of 25 votes. The percentages above are each player’s chance of going in this year; a name’s detail also gives the chance of ever being inducted.
The model's 15 likeliest Best Picture nominees, best first. 10 films get nominated, and the orange line marks that cut.
Shaded: the model's range for each film, wide this early in the season.
Select a film for its number and range.
Find out who votes, what they consider, and where the difficult choices come in.
Read a guideCompare this season's candidates and see how my bracket and the models have performed.
See a forecastCompare candidates, make your picks, and share a link to your finished bracket or ballot.
Open a studioI'm Grant Hansell. I've been building brackets for sixteen seasons. When CBS removed the side-by-side team comparison I used, I missed it enough to build my own. That became Bracket Studio, and eventually The Round Robin.
Read the About page